Veliaht Prens Muhammed bin Salman'ın Cumhurbaşkanı Trump ve Putin'e karşı acı söyleminin sonuçları ne olacak?

Veliaht Prens Muhammed bin Salman'ın Cumhurbaşkanı Trump ve Putin'e karşı acı söyleminin sonuçları ne olacak?

Is the US adhering to the agenda of destroying the Arabs economically by tearing down the oil market? Tensions are rising due to the recession in the oil market. Resolutions by Kevin Kramer and Dan Sullivan to sever defense ties with Saudi Arabia have forced Riyadh to bow down. Saudi Crown Prince talks with President Putin in a very aggressive manner. Strict response. Editor Urdupoint Mian Nadeem's analysis




WASHINGTON, May 1, 2020 / PRNewswire / - A proposal to reduce oil production due to a significant drop in global demand was discussed at a meeting of OPEC Plus on March 6. Also failed to reach an agreement as Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Russian President Vladimir Putin had a phone call shortly before the meeting, and the most important thing was the traditional diplomatic talks between the two heads of government. Was out of etiquette.According to the Middle East Eye, the two leaders appeared to be very angry with each other in the phone call. The Saudi Crown Prince was in a very aggressive mood during the phone call and Muhammad bin Salman threatened the Russian president if there was no agreement to reduce production. He said that he would start a price war. The Russian president did not come under this pressure and thus this phone call ended in a very bad atmosphere.






The report said that the Saudi Crown Prince had consulted with his friend and President Trump's son-in-law, Jared Kishner, at the White House before contacting President Putin by phone. Emma was assured of full support. At the OPEC Plus meeting, Saudi Arabia tried its best to push Russia into a corner, but failed to reach an agreement on a total reduction of 1.5 million barrels per day in oil production, after which Saudi Arabia announced an increase in oil production. Prices plummeted and President Trump praised the Saudi move.President Trump has said that this cheap oil will replenish America's reserves, benefiting not only the American people but also the national oil industry. He added that the United States is no longer in need of energy and a Achieved a wonderful goal which no one had even thought of achieving. U.S. oil companies investing in expensive shale oil projects have strongly protested President Trump's remarks because the war on oil prices and the consequent cheap oil have jeopardized investment in those projects. The White House had to change its stance on the protests of the American oil companies.
A series of phone calls began between Washington, Riyadh and Moscow, and on April 10, Moscow said that President Putin had spoken to the Saudi Crown Prince on the phone and that the two had agreed to continue Moscow-Riyadh contacts on April 12. President Trump, Saudi King Salman and the Russian president were contacted by phone and on April 13, President Trump announced on Twitter that a major agreement had been reached in OPEC Plus countries and that the agreement would save thousands of jobs in the US oil sector.
The White House and Saudi Crown Prince's joint plan to teach Russia a lesson was reversed for the United States, and on the first day of this business week, US crude oil prices went into negative trading for the first time in history, with Monday's deal at 37 37.63 per barrel. Closed barrels led to oversupply in the market, which resulted in increased Saudi oil production, reduced space for oil storage and forced companies to pay buyers to lift oil from their storage. .





US oil prices returned to ڈالر 20 on Wednesday, but global benchmark Brent Crude, which accounts for 60% of the international market, also fell to its lowest level since 1999.
Brent crude traded at 15 15.98 a barrel on Wednesday, and the US president sought to support oil prices by ordering to target Iranian ships, with Brent crude returning to 21 21.50 a barrel on Wednesday. This war has also cost oil-exporting countries dearly.
The economies of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait are dependent on oil exports. Iraq and Venezuela could be in turmoil as a result of this oil price war. The Nigerian economy in Africa has already slowed down due to the corona virus. Canada is in a position to endure this crisis, but the process of overcoming this crisis will be painful. Corona virus epidemic and subsequent economic shutdown are deepening the crisis in the oil industry The United States, Europe, India and China have started sending back oil shipments in April and May when there is a shortage of oil storage. Returned 10 deals to Saudi Arabia
The International Energy Agency (IEA) says oil demand is likely to remain negative by the end of 2022. The IAEA failed to anticipate negative oil trading, but warned that millions of employees around the world were involved in the oil industry. It is not possible to accurately estimate the effects of Corona virus on According to the US Credit Rating Agency, Saudi Arabia needs to keep the minimum price of oil at 91 91 a barrel to avoid a budget deficit, as well as Oman at 82 82 and Abu Dhabi at 65. The dollar, Qatar 55 55, Bahrain 96 96, Iraq 60 60 and Iran need to keep the price of oil at 195 195.
In Africa, Algeria needs 10 109 a barrel, Libya 100 100, Nigeria 14 144, Angola ن 155 a barrel to meet its budget needs. Russia needs oil for this year's budget needs. The price needs to be ڈالر 42, Mexico 49 49 and Kazakhstan 58 58 per barrel. The United States hopes to save the industry at 48 48, Canada at 60 60 and Norway at قیمت 27 a barrel. It remains to be seen how many of the 10 million jobs in the US oil industry will be affected by the oil war between Russia and Saudi Arabia. The energy market has also been hit hard by the Corona epidemic.
Oil companies account for 8% of US GDP, while oil companies account for 2.6% of the S&P 500 Hundred Index. The impact of the oil market crisis on the US economy is likely to continue beyond 2020. Buyers are China and the European Union, and the Corona virus epidemic has hit the market, but oil prices have deepened.
Half of Russia's total exports depend on oil. Russia could face a budget deficit of سے 40-50 billion in this situation. The oil sector accounts for 30% of Russia's GDP and 1 million jobs are at risk. Oil accounts for 70 percent of Saudi Arabia's exports, and Saudi Arabia's 500 500 billion wealth fund could temporarily help it cope with the oil price crisis. The bailout package may not be fully operational as there are reports that employees of Saudi Arabia's largest telecom company are receiving only 10% of their salaries. Has been converted into hospitals but no bailout package has been given to the industry and no expenses are being paid. Services have been working in Egypt cuts salaries of doctors who are on vacation and they are not being paid at all.







Saudi Arabia had expected oil prices to reach 40 40 a barrel after a reduction in production with Russia, and if oil prices remained at current levels, Saudi Arabia would face a ارب 40 billion revenue cut. Prior to the agreement with Russia, Saudi Arabia had instructed its agencies to cut spending by 30 percent. The Saudi government would have to suspend its major projects and the Crown Prince's visit would be halted by 2030.More than 1 million people are employed in the Saudi oil sector. Saudi Arabia will have to spend money from wealth funds and citizens will have to help. If the economic crisis deepens, there is a risk of unrest in Saudi Arabia. The economic crisis in Saudi Arabia could affect the entire region. The effects of the Saudi economic crisis in Egypt, Sudan, Lebanon, Syria and Tunisia will be felt immediately, as millions of people in those countries are employed in Saudi Arabia.
Market watchdogs and experts say both Russia and Saudi Arabia appear to be the immediate winners in the oil price war, as both have long suffered from US shale oil. Experts say Russia and Saudi Arabia This happiness is temporary because the Brent crude market will not survive and in the next few weeks (late May or early June) the world will run out of oil storage capacity.
Saudi Arabia has been so cautious that in the absence of an agreement with Russia, it has increased production, sold its oil wherever there was a demand for oil around the world, and reduced its oil production after an agreement with Russia. The only way for the producing countries to agree on another big cut in production is to achieve this goal and the next meeting of OPEC Plus is scheduled for June 10.
If US President Donald Trump pushes Saudi Arabia into an oil price war to teach Russia a lesson, he will dig a grave for his oil industry. If the Saudi Crown Prince has tried to humiliate the Russian president, he has suffered. Confucius's statement to dig two graves before taking revenge proved to be true. The great Chinese thinker Confucius said to dig two graves before taking revenge. Looking at the outcome of this war, perhaps Confucius's view seems to harmonize with the oil price war.
The United States has threatened its decades-old ally, Saudi Arabia, to withdraw its troops from Saudi Arabia if it does not reduce oil production and supply. Demands for an end to the confrontation with Russia have been circulating for weeks, and US President Donald Trump has issued an ultimatum to Saudi leaders that on April 2, Trump had a telephone conversation with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. He said that as long as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) does not reduce oil production.
Until then, he will be powerless to block legislation on the withdrawal of US troops from Saudi Arabia. Never before has there been a report of a threat to end this 75-year-old strategic alliance, and its main purpose. The United States has been pushing for a landmark oil deal, which has reduced global demand for the corona virus, a move that has been hailed as a diplomatic achievement by the United States.


According to US administration sources who attended the briefing, Trump delivered the message to the Saudi Crown Prince 10 days before the announcement of the cut in oil production, and the threat had such an effect on Muhammad bin Salman that he Everyone in the room was ordered to leave so that they could continue their conversation in secret. Trump's efforts are aimed at saving the US oil industry from catastrophe during the crisis of falling oil prices, where the corona virus has hit economies around the world. It seems that in the past, oil companies have been criticized for cutting oil production and raising oil prices because the American people had to buy expensive energy and electricity.But now the US president himself is urging OPEC countries to reduce oil production. A senior US official said the US administration had told Saudi Arabia that if it did not reduce oil production, it would ask the US Congress to do so. Will not be able to stop the sanctions and the withdrawal of US troops from Saudi Arabia is certain.
He summed up the conversation between the Saudi and US leaders by saying that Saudi Arabia was clearly told in the message that we are defending our industry while you are destroying it when the US President Asked if he had threatened the Saudi Crown Prince with the withdrawal of US troops, he said, "I don't need to tell him what he said to the Saudi Crown Prince." Said that Saudi Arabia and Russia are having difficulty in reaching an agreement. I spoke to the Saudi Crown Prince on the telephone and we were born. Succeeded in reaching agreement in the loss.
The U.S. broadcaster did not respond to a request for comment from Saudi officials, but a Saudi official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the agreement was reached by OPEC and all oil-producing countries. He declined to comment on the talks between the US and Saudi leaders, saying that Saudi Arabia, the United States and Russia have a key role to play in the OPEC and oil production reduction agreement, but not in the agreement. This would not have been possible without the cooperation of 23 countries.
A week before the US president's call to the Saudi crown prince, Republican senators Kevin Kramer and Dan Sullivan introduced a resolution saying that if Saudi Arabia does not reduce oil production, the US in Saudi Arabia Troops, Patriot missiles and anti-missile defense systems to be removed. Pressure was mounting on Saudi Arabia and Russia over the passage of the resolution after Russia refused to cut production in defiance of the OPEC oil supply agreement. Later, Saudi Arabia also began mass production of oil on the world market, increasing its oil production rapidly.




On April 12, as a result of Trump's pressure, the world's largest oil-producing countries outside the United States agreed on the largest deal in the history of oil production reduction, OPEC, Russia and other oil-producing allies said daily. On the basis, it cut production by 9.7 million barrels, or about 10 percent of world production, with Russia and Saudi Arabia suffering the most, as more than half of the production fell from countries where both countries lost 2.5 million. World oil prices continue to fall despite a 10 percent drop in global production This continues and US oil prices fell below zero dollars last week because oil sellers had nowhere to go.At the beginning of the year, the price of Brent was ڈالر 70 a barrel, but it dropped to 15 15 a barrel, the lowest price since 1999. Now the decline in oil production and the end of lockdown by various countries After the resumption of normalcy, global oil prices will definitely rise, whatever the outcome of these negotiations, but for now these negotiations are a living example of US influence over oil-producing countries. .
Asked if Trump had threatened the Saudi Crown Prince with the withdrawal of US troops, US Energy Secretary Dan Brolett said the US president reserves the right to take any steps to ensure the security of his oil production. That includes giving up their defense needs on our part. The US-Saudi strategic partnership began in 1945 when then-US President Franklin Roosevelt met with King Abdulaziz bin Saud of Saudi Arabia on the USS Quincy.
Saudi Arabia gave the United States access to its oil reserves, in return for which the United States used its military to defend itself. At present, 3,000 US troops are stationed at various bases in Saudi Arabia, and the US navy withdraws from the region. Saudi Arabia relies entirely on the United States for arms supplies and protection from rivals such as Iran. Saudi Arabia's failures and weaknesses became apparent last year when 18 drones and three missiles hit Saudi Arabia's largest oil installations, and the United States blamed the attacks on Iran.

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